Re: Point and Figure Charting in Forex

[MDunleavy]

Должен быть откат по этой паре , потом возможно будет продолжен рост.
Подробности предполагаемого движения на графике.
Trade Idea: GBP/AUD - Sell ⬇(Stop Limit) at 1.6055; Target: 1.5770 ; Stop: 1.6245.
In the case of failures.
Trade Idea: GBP/AUD - Sell ⬇(Stop Limit) at 1.6340; Target: 1.5770 ; Stop: 1.6530.

"P&F GBPAUD10080 Box Size 500X4 or(8.79%) HI/LO
Data 3.0393 - 1.5138 ~ 240.1 Month ~ 7308 Day
Database 1046 records 1.60434 (Last Close)
~ 20.01 Years
1991-01-06 00~00
2011-01-09 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

Код: выделить все

http://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_9czpg6whs
https://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_237cvshswvk

[ img ][ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Если сейчас купить ранд, спред у многих брокеров будет положительным. А при таком сильном движении откат должен быть обязательно.

Trade Idea: Usd/Zar - Sell ⬇ (Stop Limit) at 7.00; Target: 6.8750/6.8000 ; Stop: 7.100.
In the case of failures.
Trade Idea: Usd/Zar - Sell ⬇ (Stop Limit) at 7.10; Target: 6.8750/6.8000 ; Stop: 7.1800.

"P&F USDZAR5 Box Size 10X3 or(0.43%) HI/LO
Data 7.1054 - 6.7969 ~ 0.3 Month ~ 9.13 Day
Database 2010 records 7.07367 (Last Close)
2011-01-11 14~50
2011-01-20 17~55 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

Код: выделить все

https://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_237cvshswvk
http://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_126c5nfqcx

Код: выделить все

7.1000|~1OO||__________________________________+___x_|0.08%|4.46%
7.0900|~2OO||__________________________________x_+_x_|0.22%|4.31%
7.0800|~3OO||__________________________________x_o_x_|0.36%|4.17%
7.0700|~4OO||__________________________________x_o_x_|0.5%|4.02%
7.0600|~5OO||__________________________________x_o_x_|0.64%|3.87%
7.0500|~6OO||__________________________________x_o_x_|0.78%|3.72%
7.0400|~7OO||__________________________________x_o___|0.92%|3.58%
7.0300|~8OO||__________________________________x_____|1.06%|3.43%
7.0200|~9OO||__________________________________x_____|1.2%|3.28%
7.0100|~1OOO|__________________________________x_____|1.34%|3.14%
7.0000|~11OO|__________________________________x_____|1.48%|2.99%
6.9900|~12OO|__________________________________x_____|1.62%|2.84%
6.9800|~13OO|______________________________+___x_____|1.76%|2.69%
6.9700|~14OO|__________+___+_______________x_+_x_____|1.91%|2.55%
6.9600|~15OO|__________x_+_x_+_____________x_o_x_____|2.05%|2.4%
6.9500|~16OO|__________x_o_x_o_+___________x_o_x_____|2.19%|2.25%
6.9400|~17OO|__________x_o_x_o___+_________x_o_______|2.33%|2.11%
6.9300|~18OO|__________x_o_x_o_____+_______x_________|2.47%|1.96%
6.9200|~19OO|__________x_o_x_o_______+_____x_________|2.61%|1.81%
6.9100|~2OOO|__________x_o___o_____x___x___x_________|2.75%|1.66%
6.9000|~21OO|__+_______x_____o_____x_o_x_o_x_______+_|2.89%|1.52%
6.8900|~22OO|__x_+_____x_____o_x___x_o_x_o_x_____+___|3.03%|1.37%
6.8800|~23OO|__x_o_+___x_____o_x_o_x_o_+_o_x___+_____|3.17%|1.22%
6.8700|~24OO|__x_o___+_x_____o_x_o_x_+___o_x_+_______|3.31%|1.08%
6.8600|~25OO|__x_o_____x_____o___o_x_____o_+_________|3.45%|0.93%
6.8500|~26OO|__x_o_____x_________o_______+___________|3.59%|0.78%
6.8400|~27OO|__x_o_x___x_______+_____________________|3.74%|0.63%
6.8300|~28OO|____o_x_o_x_____+_______________________|3.88%|0.49%
6.8200|~29OO|____o_x_o_x___+_________________________|4.02%|0.34%
6.8100|~3OOO|____o_+_o_x_+___________________________|4.16%|0.19%
6.8000|~31OO|____+___o_+_____________________________|4.3%|0.05%
6.7900|~32OO|________+_______________________________|4.44%|-0.1%
Column|~33OO|O_6_8_3_4_1_5_5_1_3_4_6_3_3_5_1_3_1_5_6_|
Count|~34OO||__________6_____O_____________1___5_____|


[ img ][ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Доллар ослаб. Но тем не менее мне не кажется это ослабление связанным с какими-то очень серьёзными фундаментальными процессами. Да падение за пятницу 21 января составило один процент. Но мне представляется, что будет "реванш". Среднедневное движение индекса за 1000 записей приблизительно равно 23х3 пункта. Это и взято за оснрову составления главного графика. На этом графике чётко прослеживаются волновая структура ( Wolfe wave) волн Вульфа. Не исключено, что этот паттерн может быть реализован. Подробности на графиках.

*DXY as forecasted achieved the 78 handle.
*This manifested on our screens this week and was mainly due to the Leadership of EURUSD to the upside above the long awaited StopHunt over 1.3497,there were still many undercurrents of coming USD strength.The undercurrents came in the form of risk aversion pairs USDCAD, USDJPY and USDCHF staging rather dramatic advances in the face of DXY weakness throughout most of the trading week.
*One reason of course is the upside leader EURUSD has the heaviest weighting in the DXY basket, but I suspect big players are beginning to take off risk and are also hedging as multiple asset classes are breaking down and or topping.(ForexStopHunters)
*U.S. DOLLAR INDEX: Dropped nearly 1% on Friday to 78.12, which would mark its lowest close since November 12.
[ img ]

Код: выделить все

http://img593.imageshack.us/img593/2894/big11jan231133.png
Full size.

"P&F _DXY10080 Box Size1 70X3 or(5.33%) HI/LO
Data 120.51 - 70.7 ~ 215.72 Month ~ 6566 Day
Database 939 records 78.14 (Last Close)
1993-01-24 00~00 ~ 17.98 Years
2011-01-16 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

Код: выделить все

http://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_24hf487zfd

Код: выделить все

120.7|~17O||________________________+___+___________________________|-0.16%|70.72%
119.0|~34O||____________________+___x_o_x_+_________________________|1.25%|68.32%
117.3|~51O||____________________x_+_x_o_x_o_+_______________________|2.66%|65.91%
115.6|~68O||____________________x_o_x_o_x_o___+_____________________|4.07%|63.51%
113.9|~85O||____________________x_o_x_o_x_o_____+___________________|5.49%|61.1%
112.2|~1O2O|____________________x_o_x_o___o_______+_________________|6.9%|58.7%
110.5|~119O|____________________x_o_x_____o_________+_______________|8.31%|56.29%
108.8|~136O|____________________x_o_______o___________+_____________|9.72%|53.89%
107.1|~153O|____________________x_________o_____________+___________|11.13%|51.49%
105.4|~17OO|________________+___x_________o_______________+_________|12.54%|49.08%
103.7|~187O|____________+___x_+_x_________o_________________+_______|13.95%|46.68%
102.0|~2O4O|________+___x_+_x_o_x_________o___________________+_____|15.36%|44.27%
100.3|~221O|________x_+_x_o_x_o_x_________o_____________________+___|16.77%|41.87%
98.60|~238O|____+___x_o_x_o_x_o_________+_o_x_____________________+_|18.18%|39.46%
96.90|~255O|____x_+_x_o_x_o_x_________+___o_x_o_____________________|19.59%|37.06%
95.20|~272O|+___x_o_x_o___o_x_______+_____o_x_o_____________________|21%|34.65%
93.50|~289O|x_+_x_o_x_____o_______+_______o_+_o_____________________|22.41%|32.25%
91.80|~3O6O|__o_x_o_x___________+_________+___o_x___x_______________|23.82%|29.84%
90.10|~323O|__o_x_o_x_________+_______________o_x_o_x_o_____________|25.23%|27.44%
88.40|~34OO|__o_+_o_x_______+_________________o_x_o_x_o_x___x___x___|26.65%|25.04%
86.70|~357O|__+___o_x_____+___________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|28.06%|22.63%
85.00|~374O|______o_x___+_____________________o_+_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|29.47%|20.23%
83.30|~391O|______o_x_+_______________________+___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|30.88%|17.82%
81.60|~4O8O|______o_+_____________________________o_+_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|32.29%|15.42%
79.90|~425O|______+_______________________________+___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|33.7%|13.01%
78.20|~442O|==========================================o=x=o===o=x=o=|35.11%|10.61%
76.50|~459O|__________________________________________o_x_____o_x_o_|36.52%|8.2%
74.80|~476O|__________________________________________o_x___+_o_+___|37.93%|5.8%
73.10|~493O|__________________________________________o_x_+___+_____|39.34%|3.39%
71.40|~51OO|__________________________________________o_+___________|40.75%|0.99%
69.70|~527O|__________________________________________+_____________|42.16%|-1.41%
Column||||||1_3_5_9_1_3_4_5_6_3_1_5_6_5_4_1_3_8_4_6_6_1_1_6_6_8_8_7_|
Count|||||||________1___________1_________5___________2_O___________|

*But nevertheless! Prediction. Up from 77.74 to 79.58!
[ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Экзотическая пара австралийский доллар\шведская крона. На таких парах очень полезно проверять свои способности в прогнозировании. Аналитики по ним не найти. Или во всяком случае это сложно сделать. Следовательно нет влияния на собственное мнение. :-) Эта пара в течение одного дня выросла на 2%. Когда такое случается положим с EUR\USD происходит просто таки новостной водопад. А тут всё тихо.

*AUD\SEK outlook.( AUD\SEK = AUD\USD X USD\SEK )
*Rally from 6.2635 to 6.4903. Up 2% in one day!
*In the future, we will probably see correction,
pullback, consolidation in this range.
*See charts below.

"P&F AUDSEK1 Box Size 70X3 or(0.32%) HI/LO
Data 6.5775 - 6.3625 ~ 0.24 Month ~ 7.24 Day
Database 7489 records 6.48179 (Last Close)
2011-01-21 17~10
2011-01-28 22~59 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

Код: выделить все

Charts_Review_More_Pictures
https://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_28g4bmvtgt

Код: выделить все

6.5730|~7O|||________x_______+_________________________________|0.07%|3.31%
6.5660|~14O||________x_o_x_o_x_+_______________________________|0.17%|3.2%
6.5590|~21O||________x_o_x_o_x_o_+_____________________________|0.28%|3.09%
6.5520|~28O||________x_o___o_+_o___+___________________________|0.39%|2.98%
6.5450|~35O||____x___x_____+___o_x___+_________________________|0.49%|2.87%
6.5380|~42O||x___x_o_x___+_____o_x_o___+_______________________|0.6%|2.76%
6.5310|~49O||x_o_x_o_x_+_______o_x_o_____+_____________________|0.71%|2.65%
6.5240|~56O||__o_x_o_x_________o_x_o_______+___________________|0.81%|2.54%
6.5170|~63O||__o_x_o___________o___o_________+___+_____________|0.92%|2.43%
6.5100|~7OO||__o_+_________________o_____x___x_+_x_+___________|1.03%|2.32%
6.5030|~77O||__+___________________o_x___x_o_x_o_x_o_+_________|1.13%|2.21%
6.4960|~84O||______________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o___+_____+_|1.24%|2.1%
6.4890|~91O||______________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o_____+___x_|1.35%|1.99%
6.4820|~98O||======================o===o=x=o=+=====o=======+=x=|1.45%|1.88%
6.4750|~1O5O|__________________________o_x_+_______o_________x_|1.56%|1.77%
6.4680|~112O|__________________________o_+_________o_x_______x_|1.66%|1.66%
6.4610|~119O|__________________________+___________o_x_o_____x_|1.77%|1.55%
6.4540|~126O|______________________________________o_x_o_____x_|1.88%|1.44%
6.4470|~133O|______________________________________o_x_o_____x_|1.98%|1.33%
6.4400|~14OO|______________________________________o_x_o_____x_|2.09%|1.22%
6.4330|~147O|______________________________________o___o_____x_|2.2%|1.11%
6.4260|~154O|__________________________________________o_____x_|2.3%|1%
6.4190|~161O|__________________________________________o_x___x_|2.41%|0.89%
6.4120|~168O|__________________________________________o_x_o_x_|2.52%|0.78%
6.4050|~175O|__________________________________________o_x_o_x_|2.62%|0.67%
6.3980|~182O|__________________________________________o___o_x_|2.73%|0.56%
6.3910|~189O|______________________________________________o_x_|2.84%|0.45%
6.3840|~196O|______________________________________________o_x_|2.94%|0.34%
6.3770|~2O3O|______________________________________________o_x_|3.05%|0.23%
6.3700|~21OO|______________________________________________o_x_|3.15%|0.12%
6.3630|~217O|______________________________________________o_+_|3.26%|0.01%
6.3560|~224O|______________________________________________+___|3.37%|-0.1%
Column|||||||2_4_5_4_8_3_2_3_2_7_4_9_3_5_6_4_4_3_3_1_5_1_3_8_1_|
Count||||||||______________________________________1___O_____8_|


[ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Обзор интернета. Тема P&F.
======================
Using P&F (Point and Figure) Charts in Forex Trading.
Review of online published on P & F charts.
[ img ]
Click on any link below...

Код: выделить все

https://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_31dhpw7shp
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages2//XO11Feb06.htm
http://img145.imageshack.us/img145/6153/11feb061247.pdf


[MDunleavy]

Предполагаю, что евро всё же может снизиться в область, указанную на графике.
2011-Feb-12 09-24 (GMT+01:00) Paris
I remain bearish on EUR/USD too.
EUR/USD's break of 1.3510 support last week indicates that whole decline from 1.3860 has resumed. Initial bias remains on the downside towards 100% projection at 1.3393 and possibly below. However, we'd remain cautiously bullish in EUR/USD as long as 1.3253 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.3860 at 1.3250) [ by ActionForex]
Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell ⬇ (Stop Limit) at 1.3500; Target: 1.3250 ; Stop: 1.3600.

"P&F EURUSD10080 Box Size 260X3 or(6.43%) HI/LO
Data 1.6038 - 0.8225 ~ 242.4 Month ~ 7378 Day
Database 1055 records 1.35513 (Last Close)
1990-11-25 00~00 ~ 20.2 Years
2011-02-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

Код: выделить все

1.6120|~26O||________________________________________________________+_____________________|-0.51%|95.99%
1.5860|~52O||________________________________________________________x_+___________________|1.11%|92.83%
1.5600|~78O||________________________________________________________x_o_+_________________|2.73%|89.67%
1.5340|~1O4O|________________________________________________________x_o___+_____+_________|4.35%|86.5%
1.5080|~13OO|________________________________________________________x_o_____+___x_+_______|5.97%|83.34%
1.4820|~156O|________________________________________________________x_o_x_____+_x_o_+_____|7.59%|80.18%
1.4560|~182O|________________________+_______________________________x_o_x_o_x___x_o___+___|9.22%|77.02%
1.4300|~2O8O|____________+___________x_+_____________________________x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_____+_|10.84%|73.86%
1.4040|~234O|________x___x_+_________x_o_x___________________________x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x_____|12.46%|70.7%
1.3780|~26OO|+_______x_o_x_o_+_______x_o_x_o_________________________x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_|14.08%|67.54%
1.3520|~286O|x=+=====x=o=x=o===+=====x=o=x=o=+===================x===x=====o=x=o=x=o=x=o=x=|15.7%|64.38%
1.3260|~312O|x_o_+___x_o_x_o_____+___x_o_x_o___+_________________x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_|17.32%|61.22%
1.3000|~338O|x_o_x_+_x_o___o_______+_x_o___o_____+_______________x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o___|18.94%|58.05%
1.2740|~364O|__o_x_o_x_____o_________x_____o_______+_________x___x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_____|20.56%|54.89%
1.2480|~39OO|__o_x_o_x_____o_x_______x_____o_________+_______x_o_x_o_x_____o___o___o_x___+_|22.18%|51.73%
1.2220|~416O|__o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x___x_____o_____x_____+_____x_o_x_o_x_____________o_x_+___|23.81%|48.57%
1.1960|~442O|__o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_____o_____x_o_____+___x_o___o_x___________+_o_+_____|25.43%|45.41%
1.1700|~468O|__o_x_o_____+_o___o_x_o_x___+_o_____x_o_____x_+_x_____o___________+___+_______|27.05%|42.25%
1.1440|~494O|__o_x_____+_______o___o_x_+___o_x___x_o_____x_o_x_______________+_____________|28.67%|39.09%
1.1180|~52OO|__o_x___+_____________o_+_____o_x_o_x_o_____x_o_x_____________+_______________|30.29%|35.93%
1.0920|~546O|__o_x_+_______________+_______o_x_o_x_o_____x_o_____________+_________________|31.91%|32.77%
1.0660|~572O|__o_+_________________________o_x_o___o_____x_____________+___________________|33.53%|29.6%
1.0400|~598O|__+___________________________o_______o_____x___________+_____________________|35.15%|26.44%
1.0140|~624O|______________________________________o_____x_________+_______________________|36.78%|23.28%
0.9880|~65OO|______________________________________o_____x_______+_________________________|38.4%|20.12%
0.9620|~676O|______________________________________o_____x_____+___________________________|40.02%|16.96%
0.9360|~7O2O|______________________________________o_x___x___+_____________________________|41.64%|13.8%
0.9100|~728O|______________________________________o_x_o_x_+_______________________________|43.26%|10.64%
0.8840|~754O|______________________________________o_x_o_x_________________________________|44.88%|7.48%
0.8580|~78OO|______________________________________o_x_o___________________________________|46.5%|4.32%
0.8320|~8O6O|______________________________________o_+_____________________________________|48.12%|1.16%
0.8060|~832O|______________________________________+_______________________________________|49.74%|-2.01%
Column|~|||||3_1_9_5_9_4_4_9_3_4_3_4_1_5_4_1_4_3_6_1_4_3_1_3_7_3_6_7_1_7_3_9_8_8_1_1_8_4_3_|
Count|~||||||__1_____________________2_____4_______5_____2___________6___________O_2_______|


[ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Фунт подошёл к мощной линии сопротивления. Но надежды на её прорыв мало. Хотя исключить ничего нельзя. Но тем не менее больше склоняюсь к тому, что в течение недели может последовать снижение даже к 1,6020.
After an upbeat week, the pound faces new information about the upcoming rate hike and also a worrying GDP among other events. Here’s an outlook for the British events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.
I am neutral on GBP/USD.
The rate policy is still unclear, although it will come earlier than expected. On the other hand, we’ll get a reminder of the horrible fourth quarter. Another interesting week is ahead of us, but a major breakthrough isn’t likely. [by forexcrunch].

"P&F GBPUSD10080 Box Size 270X4 or(6.23%) HI/LO
Data 2.1161 - 1.3503 ~ 241.71 Month ~ 7357 Day
Database 1052 records 1.62521 (Last Close)
1990-12-23 00~00 ~ 20.14 Years
2011-02-13 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
[ img ]
[ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Нефть уверенно движется вверх. Вероятно этому особенно способствовали последние события в арабских странах. Но если посмотреть на график игнорирующий движения менее $12 ( взято произвольно, просто на страницу тогда все данные за 8 лет помещаются :)) то чётко видна структура, напоминающая пять волн. И логично предполагать, что если последняя вершина "дорисована" ценой, то должно последовать снижение в район 76-77. Во что верится с трудом. Во всяком случае если это и произойдёт то не быстро. Пока предполагаю движение цены в диапазоне 93-104. Подробности на графике. Контракт E-mini Crude Oil Futures котировки есть в МТ-broco, оттуда и взяты.
===================
This has been a turbulent week on the geopolitical front, triggering waves in the stock market and sending the price of crude oil through the roof. While the stock market corrects itself (as we anticipated), the price of crude oil seems to be creeping ever higher, putting upward pressure on the price of fuel and energy. Worse still is the serious effect this could have on the economic recovery that everyone has been banking on.[marketoracle]There's no way of knowing how events will unfold. Since the current oil price is always the best predictor of the future oil price in the very short-term, I predict that Nymex WTI will be priced in the $93-$104 range on March 12th.
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"P&F QM_CONT1440 Box Size $4X3 or(13.94%) HI/LO
Data 147.3 - 24.825 ~ 99.68 Month ~ 3034 Day
Database 2000 records 98.225 (Last Close)
2002-11-05 00~00 ~ 8.31 Years
2011-02-25 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
------------------

Код: выделить все

148.00|~4||____________+_________________________|-0.48%|496.17%
144.00|~8||____________x_+_______________________|2.24%|480.06%
140.00|~12|____________x_o_+_____________________|4.96%|463.95%
136.00|~16|____________x_o___+___________________|7.67%|447.83%
132.00|~2O|____________x_o_____+_________________|10.39%|431.72%
128.00|~24|____________x_o_______+_______________|13.1%|415.61%
124.00|~28|____________x_o_________+_____________|15.82%|399.5%
120.00|~32|____________x_o___________+___________|18.53%|383.38%
116.00|~36|____________x_o_____________+_________|21.25%|367.27%
112.00|~4O|____________x_o_______________+_______|23.96%|351.16%
108.00|~44|____________x_o_x_______________+_____|26.68%|335.05%
104.00|~48|____________x_o_x_o_______________+___|29.4%|318.93%
100.00|~52|________x___x_o_x_o_________________x_|32.11%|302.82%
96.00||~56|________x_o_x_o_x_o_________________x_|34.83%|286.71%
92.00||~6O|________x_o_x_o___o_________________x_|37.54%|270.59%
88.00||~64|________x_o_______o_________________x_|40.26%|254.48%
84.00||~68|________x_________o_____________x___x_|42.97%|238.37%
80.00||~72|________x_________o_____________x_o_x_|45.69%|222.26%
76.00||~76|____x___x_________o_____________x_o_x_|48.4%|206.14%
72.00||~8O|____x_o_x_________o_________x___x_o_x_|51.12%|190.03%
68.00||~84|x___x_o_x_______+_o_________x_o_x_o___|53.84%|173.92%
64.00||~88|x_o_x_o_x_____+___o_________x_o_x_____|56.55%|157.8%
60.00||~92|x_o_x_o_x___+_____o_________x_o_______|59.27%|141.69%
56.00||~96|x_o___o_x_+_______o_________x_________|61.98%|125.58%
52.00|~1OO|x_____o_+_________o_________x_______+_|64.7%|109.47%
48.00|~1O4|x_____+___________o_x___x___x_____+___|67.41%|93.35%
44.00|~1O8|x_________________o_x_o_x_o_x___+_____|70.13%|77.24%
40.00|~112|x_________________o_x_o_x_o_x_+_______|72.84%|61.13%
36.00|~116|x_________________o___o___o_+_________|75.56%|45.02%
32.00|~12O|x_________________________+___________|78.28%|28.9%
28.00|~124|x_____________________________________|80.99%|12.79%
24.00||||||1_3_5_6_1_3_1_1_4_1_3_3_3_3_9_3_6_4_8_|
Column|||||1_______2___4_3___8___________________|


[ img ]
Весь график рисунок 3283X2513 px Full size.
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

В конце прошлой недели евро пытался выйти из многомесячного диапазона и протестировал отметку 116 (115,96). Но мне это не кажется достаточным основанием считать, что евро в ближайшее время поднимется к отметке 117 или выше. Возможно конечно всё, но я глядя на сложившиеся три вершины предполагаю всё же снижение в район 112. Подробности на графиках.
===============
I am neutral on USD/JPY.
The magnitude of Middle -Eastern events has been extraordinary. This sent oil up and the dollar down, with the yen being one of the big winners. When the Libyan crisis ends, dollar/yen will rise back up, but the level of uncertainty is very high.
I am neutral on EUR/USD too.
The clear statement about rate hikes will continue to boost the Euro, as well as the strength in Germany. On the other hand, the US economy is moving forwards, as seen in the improving job market, and another round of the debt crisis is around the corner. Choppy trading is likely, until a new direction is seen – probably down.
[forexcrunch]
EUR\JPY = EUR\USD X USD\JPY
Movement will be neutral as well. Or may turn bearish.... See chart....
Trade Idea: EUR/JPY- Sell (Stop Limit) at 115.50; Target: 112.00 ; Stop: 116.50.

"P&F EURJPY10080 Box Size30X4 or(8.99%) HI/LO
Data 177.98 - 88.87 ~ 241.94 Month ~ 7364 Day
Database 1053 records 115.117 (Last Close)
1990-12-30 00~00 ~ 20.16 Years
2011-02-27 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
[ img ]
[ img ] [ img ]

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

[MDunleavy]

Предполагаю, и не я один, что возможно дальнейшее снижение новозеландского доллара. В основном винят землетрясение...Но и без землетрясения существуют причины, в частности длительный период роста должен был рано или поздно смениться периодом как минимум коррекции.
Подробности на графиках.
*Trade Idea: NZD/USD- Sell (Stop Limit) at 1.7410\40; Target: 1.7100\30; Stop: 1.7480\1.7520.
*I remain bearish on NZD/USD.
*The consequences of the devastating earthquake are still felt in New Zealand. A rate cut to accommodate to the economic weakness will likely drive prices even lower.
=======================
*The NZD/USD has formed a hammer at the 0.7350 level, a key support level for the last several months. Because of this, it looks decidedly bullish for the short-term. It appears that support will end up holding, and as such – we could see more consolidation between this level and 0.7800.
Any break above Thursday’s high. 0.7377 is a buy signal towards as highs at 0.78, and any break below its low at 0.7320 is a sell signal that could lead up down to 0.70 or lower. This pair is at one of those places you like to take longer-term trades since it is such an important area.[dailymarkets]

"P&F NZDUSD10080 Box Size 150X3 or(7.43%) HI/LO
Data 0.8214 - 0.39 ~ 243.32 Month ~ 7406 Day
Database 1059 records 0.74246 (Last Close)
1990-11-25 00~00
2011-03-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
[ img ]
[ img ] [ img ]
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

Код: выделить все

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8OWZhZmIxZDktNmM0NS00ODczLThlYTAtMjEyZmQ3NTlkMGQ2&sort=name&layout=list&num=50
     vvv OR ^^^
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YmVmZTJlYmYtMjc1Mi00ZjljLThmN2MtNjMwMTZiMjRmZjhj&sort=name&layout=list&num=50
     vvv OR ^^^
A t t a c h m e n t