Re: Point and Figure Charting in Forex

**MDunleavy** » 07 авг 2011, 14:58

Ещё немного, и можно будет начинать рассматривать длинные позиции по паре доллар\франк...
The Swiss franc is having a one sided summer, thanks to the global slowdown.
Even a sophisticated intervention attempt by the SNB was short lived, and failed to stop the franc.
The debt crisis in the old continent and the debt ceiling issues in the US meant a stronger Swiss franc across the board, with fresh records against both major currencies.
Where will this stop?
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**MDunleavy** » 14 авг 2011, 22:21

По франку там в последней картинке обзора хорошо виден шип...Думаю в ближайшее время повторного тестирования минимумов не будет...По поводу евро большинство склоняется к продажам. Возможно к концу недели что-то прояснится....
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*The Euro is still unclear and it seems that investors are waiting for some kind of a trigger to determine the direction. Monday is French & Italian holidays, so the Euro might by numb until Tuesday. Then, there is an important data such as the German GDP and building permits in the US.
*The 200 SMA is still a strong supportive area for the Euro, and as long as it remains above that support it will have better chances for rising towards 1.44 and above. A break-down can take the Euro down to 1.385.

**MDunleavy** » 22 авг 2011, 12:57

*Длительное горизонтальное движение пары евро\доллар предполагает какое-то разрешение данной ситуации.
*Каких-либо характерных моделей P&F кроме как "горизонтальный счёт" не представляется возможным применить.
*Но многие трейдеры опираясь в основном на фундаментальные данные предполагают краткосрочный рост евро...
*Я полагаю, что в ближайшее время будет выход из длительного горизонтального движения.
*EUR attempted a rally last week but found resistance at 1.4516 and pulled back.
*As we have noted before, the key resistance level on the daily chart is 1.4530/40 and only a firm move abv there will indicate the next leg higher is under way.
*Until that happens, EUR/USD is in trading range.
Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy Stop at 1.4420; Target: 1.4900 ; Stop: 1.4310.
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**MDunleavy** » 30 авг 2011, 08:38

Фунт тоже пробует расти, хотя перспектива его роста находится под сомнением. Во всяком случае нет никаких предпосылок для выхода из сложившегося в течение полугода торгового диапазона.
GBP/USD:Pound trading flat this morning
For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, GBP rose 0.37% against the USD and closed at 1.6409.
The pair opened the Asian session at 1.6409, and is trading at 1.6408 at 3.00GMT. GBP is trading flat versus USD from yesterday’s close at 23:00 GMT.
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**MDunleavy** » 12 сен 2011, 09:24

Целый год фунт движется практически горизонтально, хотя и диапазон этого движения значительный от ~1.67 до ~1.53 приблизительно, 1400 пунктов где-то. В настоящее время возможно дальнейшее снижение.
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*The GBP/USD may continue its drop if data from the U.K. or other global economies remained bearish as it will increase the appeal of the dollar as a safe haven. On the hand, the dollar may remain boosted by the $447 billion jobs stimulus plan proposed by president Obama the pervious week.
*This week, the main attention will be on inflation data from both economies as it will give an update about inflation status amid expectations that there might be monetary intervention by the Fed on Sep. 20-21 meeting and by the BoE later in the year.
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**MDunleavy** » 21 сен 2011, 10:41

Индекс доллара. Для многих его поведение является определяющим в глобальных движениях на рынках валют. Есть также зависимость между данными этого индекса и других индексов.
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Traders and investors must follow the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) very closely. The major stock market indexes are trading inverse to the U.S. Dollar Index at this time. If the DXY declines or pulls back intra-day the major stock indexes will inflate and trade higher. The opposite is true if the DXY trades higher, obviously the major stock indexes will deflate and decline lower....[by wallstreetpit]
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**MDunleavy** » 27 сен 2011, 09:58

Вроде должен остановиться рост доллара,пока думаю бьудет двигаться горизонтально, а потом возможна и коррекция.
Market Commentary Dollar Index is just nearing resistance zone of 78.75-79.30 ranges though double dip depression in the US is still glooming resulting in most of the asset classes trading softer especially the equities, the dollar index may go sideways.
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**MDunleavy** » 09 окт 2011, 08:15

Всё же движение новозеландского доллара на "юг" считаю не исчерпанным. Возможно после некоторого периода горизонтального движения может последовать значительное снижение пары.
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Moreover, Kiwi advanced as stock gains boosted demand for risky assets and also growth linked currencies like kiwi, along with the cheerful data from the Chinese economy, where China’ industrial production continued to accelerate, adding that New Zealand products will increase this period because the Chinese market is the largest market for New Zealand goods....(By fxempire)
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**MDunleavy** » 18 окт 2011, 10:48

Предполагается горизонтальное движение пары доллар\ена, падать вроде уже некуда, а подняться ещё сил нет. :-)
I am neutral on USD/JPY.
While the pair finally closed above 77 and has room for gains in the long run, it is hard to see the pair making a serious move right now. The high level of optimism probably won’t be repeated right now.[forexcrunch]

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**MDunleavy** » 23 окт 2011, 13:22

Обновленный обзор USD \\ JPY см. пост выше тоже.
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